Cardiff vs Burnley
England Championship
Cardiff
بيرنلي
نوفمبر 7, 2026 at 16:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
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Cardiff vs Burnley prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off نوفمبر 7, 2026 at 16:00 at Cardiff City Stadium. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.17), 91% confidence.
Cardiff vs Burnley Preview
Cardiff host Burnley in the England Championship (matchday 15) on السبت 7 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 16:00 GMT+0100 at Cardiff City Stadium. Oliver Langford is the referee.
Cardiff are 18th in the table with 15 points from 14 games (3-6-5), while Burnley sit 22nd on 10 points. Cardiff have a 5-point advantage. At home Cardiff have won 3 of 7; Burnley have won 1 of 7 on the road.
Cardiff have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-L-D), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Burnley have three draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-D-D), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Cardiff have won 1, Burnley 4, with 1 draw and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in سبتمبر 2025, finished Burnley 1-2 Cardiff.
Cardiff average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Burnley average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: J. Moylan leads Cardiff's scoring with 9 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make Cardiff the favourites: Cardiff 2.10, draw 3.70, Burnley 3.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.53 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.44, no 2.62.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.4 goals a game.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cardiff | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 22 | بيرنلي | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
Season stats
| Cardiff | بيرنلي | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 6 / 5 | 1 / 7 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 22 (1.6) | 18 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 23 (1.6) | 26 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 5-1 | 0-4 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- J. Moylan 9 goals · 3 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 6 نوفمبر 2026, 13:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.49 – 1.41 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 84/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 61.0% |
| Draw | 18.4% |
| Burnley win | 20.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 79.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 39.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45.3% |
| Both teams to score | 69.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 نوفمبر 2026, 16:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.4 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Cardiff
WDWLD
2.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
بيرنلي
DLLDD
1.0 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Cardiff wins 1 draws 4 Burnley wins last 6 meetings
- بيرنلي1 - 2Cardiff League Cup
- Cardiff1 - 2بيرنلي Championship
- بيرنلي5 - 0Cardiff Championship
- بيرنلي3 - 0Cardiff Championship
- Cardiff1 - 1بيرنلي Championship
- بيرنلي2 - 0Cardiff Premier League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 نوفمبر 2026, 13:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
