Cucuta vs Jaguares
Colombia Primera A
Cucuta
Jaguares
نوفمبر 12, 2026 at 22:00 · Estadio General Santander
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Cucuta vs Jaguares prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off نوفمبر 12, 2026 at 22:00 at Estadio General Santander. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.08), 84% confidence.
Cucuta vs Jaguares Preview
Cucuta host Jaguares in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 19) on الخميس 12 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 22:00 GMT+0100 at Estadio General Santander.
Cucuta are 11th in the table with 24 points from 18 games (7-3-8), while Jaguares sit 19th on 13 points. Cucuta have a 11-point advantage. At home Cucuta have won 5 of 9; Jaguares have won 0 of 9 on the road.
Cucuta have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-L-W-L), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Jaguares have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Cucuta have won 3, Jaguares 2, with 1 draw and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in مايو 2026, finished Jaguares 2-0 Cucuta.
Cucuta average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Jaguares average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 12 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Rentería leads Jaguares's scoring with 12 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make Cucuta the favourites: Cucuta 1.40, draw 4.00, Jaguares 7.00 (William Hill). Both teams to score: yes 2.05, no 1.70.
Our prediction: Cucuta or draw (1X). The model gives Cucuta or a draw a 90% chance, Jaguares have lost 4 of their last 5 and Cucuta sit 11th, 8 places above Jaguares.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 24 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -18 | 13 |
Season stats
| Cucuta | Jaguares | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 37 | 37 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 10 / 10 / 17 | 8 / 7 / 22 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 41 (1.1) | 37 (1.0) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 61 (1.6) | 68 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 12 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- A. Rentería 12 goals · 3 assists
Odds (William Hill)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 11 نوفمبر 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.89 – 0.84 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 98/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta win | 61.9% | 64.5% | 1.40 | -13.3% |
| Draw | 21.8% | 22.6% | 4.00 | -12.6% |
| Jaguares win | 16.2% | 12.9% | 7.00 | +13.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 83.8% | 87.1% | 1.08 | -9.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 38.1% | 35.5% | 2.70 | +2.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.7% | — | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.4% | — | — | — |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.6% | — | — | — |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.7% | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | 48.4% | 45.3% | 2.05 | -0.8% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 11 نوفمبر 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (William Hill). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Cucuta or draw (1X) — The model gives Cucuta or a draw a 90% chance, Jaguares have lost 4 of their last 5 and Cucuta sit 11th, 8 places above Jaguares.
Form (last 5)
Cucuta
WLLWL
0.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Jaguares
LWLLL
0.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Cucuta wins 1 draws 2 Jaguares wins last 6 meetings
- Jaguares2 - 0Cucuta Primera A
- Jaguares1 - 2Cucuta Primera B
- Cucuta2 - 2Jaguares Primera B
- Cucuta1 - 2Jaguares Primera B
- Jaguares1 - 2Cucuta Primera B
- Jaguares0 - 3Cucuta Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 11 نوفمبر 2026, 00:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
