Fakel vs Dynamo
Russia Premier League
Fakel
Dynamo
نوفمبر 7, 2026 at 12:00 · Fakel Stadium
Won
Fakel vs Dynamo prediction and betting tip for this Russia Premier League match, kicking off نوفمبر 7, 2026 at 12:00 at Fakel Stadium. Our tip: Double Chance: Away or Draw (X2) (odds 1.18), 88% confidence. Final score: 1-2 (1-1). The tip won.
- Away Win Won
Fakel 1-2 Dynamo: Match Report
Dynamo won 2-1 away at Fakel in the Russia Premier League on السبت, with a late winner. It was 1-1 at the break.
Daniil Fomin opened the scoring for Dynamo on 3 minutes, set up by Bitello. Vyacheslav Yakimov levelled for Fakel on 12 minutes. Konstantin Tyukavin won it for Dynamo in stoppage time (90+1'), set up by Maksim Osipenko.
Dynamo had 65% of the ball, while Fakel had 13 shots (5 on target) to Dynamo's 13 (3). Expected goals finished Fakel 1.33, Dynamo 0.76, so Dynamo won against the run of play.
Arthur Gomes (Dynamo, 42') and Darko Todorovic (Fakel, 72') were sent off. Referee Matvey Zaika showed 3 yellow cards.
Our tip, Dynamo or draw (X2), won as Dynamo won.
Goals & cards
- 3' Daniil Fomin Dynamo · assist Bitello
- 11' Darko Todorovic Fakel · Yellow Card
- 12' Vyacheslav Yakimov Fakel
- 17' Belajdi Pusi Fakel · Yellow Card
- 39' Arthur Gomes Dynamo · Yellow Card
- 42' Arthur Gomes Dynamo · Red Card
- 72' Darko Todorovic Fakel · Red Card
- 82' Josue Casimir Dynamo · Yellow Card
- 87' Clayton Sampaio Pereira Fakel · Yellow Card
- 90+1' Konstantin Tyukavin Dynamo · assist Maksim Osipenko
Match stats
Before the match
Fakel hosted Dynamo in the Russia Premier League (matchday 14) on السبت 7 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 12:00 GMT+0100 at Fakel Stadium in Voronezh. Matvey Zaika was the referee.
Fakel are 16th in the table with 6 points from 13 games (1-3-9), while Dynamo sit 2nd on 28 points. Dynamo have a 22-point advantage. At home Fakel have won 0 of 7; Dynamo have won 3 of 6 on the road.
Fakel have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-L-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Dynamo have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Fakel have won 1, Dynamo 2, with 3 draws and an average of 1.8 goals per game. The most recent, in أغسطس 2026, finished Fakel 0-1 Dynamo.
Fakel average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-3. Dynamo average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
Players to watch: K. Tyukavin leads Dynamo's scoring with 6 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups: Fakel lined up in a 5-3-2, Dynamo in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Dynamo the favourites: Fakel 5.25, draw 4.10, Dynamo 1.65 (Marathonbet). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.84 and under at 1.97. Both teams to score: yes 1.81, no 1.89.
Our prediction was Dynamo or draw (X2). The model gives Dynamo or a draw a 100% chance, Dynamo have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 14 places above Fakel.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
Season stats
| Fakel | Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 3 / 9 | 9 / 1 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 8 (0.6) | 21 (1.6) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 21 (1.6) | 12 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 2 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 7 |
| Biggest win | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-3 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- K. Tyukavin 6 goals · 1 assist
- V. Okishor 3 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Marathonbet)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
I. Obukhov, A. Kovalev, A. Gabaraev, Clayton, M. Bardachev, D. Todorović, V. Yakimov, R. Netfullin, B. Magomedov, B. Pusi, A. Koksharov
Coach: Khasanbi Bidzhiev
A. Lunev, J. Cáceres, R. Fernández, David Ricardo, Rubens, D. Fomin, D. Glebov, Y. Gladyshev, Bitello, Arthur Gomes, K. Tyukavin
Coach: S. Schwarz
Data: API-Football · updated 7 نوفمبر 2026, 14:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.64 – 1.83 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Fakel win | 12.3% |
| Draw | 21.6% |
| Dynamo win | 66.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 33.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 87.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Both teams to score | 39.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 0%, draw 50%, away 50%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 نوفمبر 2026, 11:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Dynamo or draw (X2) — The model gives Dynamo or a draw a 100% chance, Dynamo have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 14 places above Fakel.
Form (last 5)
Fakel
LLWLL
0.4 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Dynamo
WWWLW
2.0 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Fakel wins 3 draws 2 Dynamo wins last 6 meetings
- Fakel0 - 1Dynamo Cup
- Fakel1 - 1Dynamo Premier League
- Dynamo3 - 1Fakel Premier League
- Fakel Voronezh1 - 1Dinamo Moscow Premier League
- Dinamo Moscow0 - 0Fakel Voronezh Premier League
- Dinamo Moscow0 - 2Fakel Voronezh Premier League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 نوفمبر 2026, 03:59. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
