Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
مستقل
ديبورتيفو ريسترا
نوفمبر 6, 2026 at 23:15 · Libertadores de America
Won
Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction and betting tip for this Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina match, kicking off نوفمبر 6, 2026 at 23:15 at Libertadores de America. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.12), 80% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (1-0). The tip won.
- Under 3.5 Goals Won
Independiente 2-1 Deportivo Riestra: Match Report
Independiente beat Deportivo Riestra 2-1 at Libertadores de America in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina on الجمعة, with a late winner. Independiente led 1-0 at half-time.
Mateo Pérez Curci opened the scoring for Independiente on 11 minutes, set up by Josias Palais. Alexander Díaz levelled for Deportivo Riestra on 86 minutes, set up by Tomás González. Felipe Tempone won it for Independiente on 87 minutes, set up by Juan Fedorco.
Independiente had 52% of the ball and 10 shots (3 on target) to Deportivo Riestra's 16 (4). Expected goals finished Independiente 1.15, Deportivo Riestra 1.37, a close game on chances.
Referee Juan Pafundi showed 3 yellow cards.
Our tip, Independiente or draw (1X), won as Independiente won.
Goals & cards
- 11' Mateo Pérez Curci Independiente · assist Josias Palais
- 30' Jonathan Goitia Deportivo Riestra · Yellow Card
- 45+3' Sebastian Valdez Independiente · Yellow Card
- 71' Nicolas Watson Deportivo Riestra · Yellow Card
- 86' Alexander Díaz Deportivo Riestra · assist Tomás González
- 87' Felipe Tempone Independiente · assist Juan Fedorco
Match stats
Before the match
Independiente hosted Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina (Clausura - 16) on الجمعة 6 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 23:15 GMT+0100 at Libertadores de America in Buenos Aires. Juan Pafundi was the referee.
Independiente are 8th in the table with 20 points from 15 games (5-5-5), while Deportivo Riestra sit 14th on 12 points. Independiente have a 8-point advantage. At home Independiente have won 1 of 7; Deportivo Riestra have won 0 of 7 on the road.
Independiente have three draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-D-L-D), averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Deportivo Riestra have two draws and three defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-D-L-L), averaging 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 5 meetings Independiente have won 2, Deportivo Riestra 2, with 1 draw and an average of 1.6 goals per game. The most recent, in أبريل 2026, finished Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Independiente.
Independiente average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Deportivo Riestra average 0.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 10 clean sheets and 20 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2.
Players to watch: G. Ávalos leads Independiente's scoring with 11 goals and 5 assists.
Line-ups: Independiente lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Deportivo Riestra in a 5-3-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Independiente the favourites: Independiente 1.80, draw 3.10, Deportivo Riestra 5.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.88 and under at 1.40. Both teams to score: yes 2.62, no 1.44.
Our prediction was Independiente or draw (1X). The model gives Independiente or a draw a 90% chance, Deportivo Riestra have lost 3 of their last 5 and Independiente sit 8th, 6 places above Deportivo Riestra.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | مستقل | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 | ديبورتيفو ريسترا | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
Season stats
| مستقل | ديبورتيفو ريسترا | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 32 | 31 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 11 / 11 / 10 | 3 / 14 / 14 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 38 (1.2) | 15 (0.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 38 (1.2) | 29 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 20 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 5-3-2 |
Top scorers
- G. Ávalos 11 goals · 5 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
S. Mele, S. Arias, S. Valdez, J. Arrayago, N. Banegas, M. Perez, I. Marcone, I. Machuca, M. Meza, J. Palais, E. Ávila
Coach: Jádson Viera
I. Arce, G. Obredor, F. Miño, J. Randazzo, C. Paz, P. Ramírez, M. Céliz, N. Watson, J. Goitía, Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza, M. Graneros
Coach: G. Benítez
Data: API-Football · updated 7 نوفمبر 2026, 01:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.03 – 0.55 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Independiente win | 46.5% |
| Draw | 34.0% |
| Deportivo Riestra win | 19.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 80.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 53.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 47.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 78.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 92.3% |
| Both teams to score | 27.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 نوفمبر 2026, 22:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Independiente or draw (1X) — The model gives Independiente or a draw a 90% chance, Deportivo Riestra have lost 3 of their last 5 and Independiente sit 8th, 6 places above Deportivo Riestra.
Form (last 5)
مستقل
LDDLD
0.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
ديبورتيفو ريسترا
DLDLL
0.4 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Independiente wins 1 draws 2 Deportivo Riestra wins last 5 meetings
- ديبورتيفو ريسترا2 - 0مستقل Liga Profesional Argentina
- ديبورتيفو ريسترا0 - 1مستقل Liga Profesional Argentina
- مستقل0 - 0ديبورتيفو ريسترا Liga Profesional Argentina
- مستقل3 - 1ديبورتيفو ريسترا Liga Profesional Argentina
- ديبورتيفو ريسترا1 - 0مستقل Copa de la Liga Profesional
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 نوفمبر 2026, 14:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
