Jong AZ vs Almere City FC
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
نوفمبر 6, 2026 at 20:00 · AFAS Trainingscomplex
Won
Jong AZ vs Almere City FC prediction and betting tip for this Netherlands Eerste Divisie match, kicking off نوفمبر 6, 2026 at 20:00 at AFAS Trainingscomplex. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.07), 92% confidence. Final score: 1-3 (0-1). The tip won.
Jong AZ 1-3 Almere City FC: Match Report
Almere City FC won 3-1 away at Jong AZ in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie on الجمعة. Almere City FC led 1-0 at half-time.
Ferdy Druijf opened the scoring for Almere City FC on 43 minutes, set up by Byron Burgering. Jasper Hartog levelled for Jong AZ on 67 minutes. An own goal by Rome Jayden Owusu Oduro put Almere City FC in front on 73 minutes. Marley Dors made it 1-3 on 85 minutes, set up by Milan de Haan.
Jong AZ had 66% of the ball and 18 shots (8 on target) to Almere City FC's 14 (7). Expected goals finished Jong AZ 1, Almere City FC 2.18, so Almere City FC deserved the win.
There were 1 yellow card.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 4 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 35' Joey Jacobs Almere City FC · Yellow Card
- 43' Ferdy Druijf Almere City FC · assist Byron Burgering
- 67' Jasper Hartog Jong AZ
- 73' Rome Jayden Owusu Oduro Almere City FC · Own Goal
- 85' Marley Dors Almere City FC · assist Milan de Haan
Match stats
Before the match
Jong AZ hosted Almere City FC in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (matchday 14) on الجمعة 6 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 20:00 GMT+0100 at AFAS Trainingscomplex in Alkmaar.
Jong AZ have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-W-L), averaging 2.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Almere City FC have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Jong AZ have won 3, Almere City FC 3, with 0 draws and an average of 4.3 goals per game. The most recent, in يناير 2026, finished Jong AZ 3-4 Almere City FC.
Jong AZ average 2.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Almere City FC average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: F. Druijf leads Almere City FC's scoring with 8 goals and 3 assists.
Line-ups: Jong AZ lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Almere City FC in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Almere City FC the favourites: Jong AZ 3.30, draw 4.10, Almere City FC 1.95 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.30 and under at 3.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.30, no 3.40.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.9 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 4.3 goals and recent form points to 4.1 goals a game.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Season stats
| Jong AZ | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 2 / 6 | 8 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 32 (2.5) | 27 (2.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 28 (2.2) | 13 (1.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.0 / 2.9 | 1.7 / 2.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- F. Druijf 8 goals · 3 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
R. Owusu-Oduro, J. Zwart, R. Ichihara, F. Andersen, J. Esajas, R. Robbemond, Julian Sijbrands, J. Hartog, H. de Wit, Wassim bouziane, Jerolldino Bergraaf
Coach: Norbert Alblas
Wessel Speel, M. Wasinski, J. Jacobs, D. van Bruggen, T. Bijleveld, M. Hoedemakers, E. Cornelisse, E. Poku, H. El Dahri, J. Ritmeester van de Kamp, F. Druijf
Coach: Anoush Dastgir
Data: API-Football · updated 6 نوفمبر 2026, 22:59. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.72 – 2.38 · most likely score 1-2 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Jong AZ win | 27.9% |
| Draw | 19.5% |
| Almere City FC win | 52.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 47.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 72.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 22.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 41.3% |
| Both teams to score | 74.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 6 نوفمبر 2026, 19:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.9 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 4.3 goals and recent form points to 4.1 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Jong AZ
WLDWL
2.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Almere City FC
WWLLW
1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Jong AZ wins 0 draws 3 Almere City FC wins last 6 meetings
- Jong AZ3 - 4Almere City FC Eerste Divisie
- Almere City FC1 - 3Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
- Almere City FC2 - 1Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
- Jong AZ3 - 2Almere City FC Eerste Divisie
- Jong AZ1 - 3Almere City FC Friendlies Clubs
- Almere City FC0 - 3Jong AZ Eerste Divisie
Statistics: API-Football · updated 6 نوفمبر 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
