Junior vs Cucuta
Colombia Primera A
Junior
Cucuta
نوفمبر 10, 2026 at 01:00
Upcoming
Junior vs Cucuta prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off نوفمبر 10, 2026 at 01:00. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.18), 83% confidence.
- Home Win Upcoming
Junior vs Cucuta Preview
Junior host Cucuta in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 18) on الثلاثاء 10 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 01:00 GMT+0100.
Junior are 17th in the table with 16 points from 17 games (3-7-7), while Cucuta sit 11th on 24 points. Cucuta have a 8-point advantage. At home Junior have won 2 of 8; Cucuta have won 2 of 8 on the road.
Junior have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-D-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Cucuta have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-W), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Junior have won 4, Cucuta 1, with 1 draw and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in أبريل 2026, finished Cucuta 1-1 Junior.
Junior average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Cucuta average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: L. Muriel leads Junior's scoring with 16 goals and 3 assists.
Bookmakers make Junior the favourites: Junior 1.70, draw 3.60, Cucuta 4.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction: Junior or draw (1X). The model gives Junior or a draw a 90% chance, Junior have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 7 of 8 home games.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cucuta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 24 |
| 17 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
Season stats
| Junior | Cucuta | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 42 | 36 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 17 / 11 / 14 | 10 / 10 / 16 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 62 (1.5) | 41 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 55 (1.3) | 59 (1.6) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 12 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 8 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 4 |
| Biggest win | 3-0 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
- L. Muriel 16 goals · 3 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 9 نوفمبر 2026, 13:58. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.97 – 0.93 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 93/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior win | 61.7% | 54.6% | 1.70 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 21.2% | 25.8% | 3.60 | -23.5% |
| Cucuta win | 17.1% | 19.6% | 4.75 | -18.8% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 82.9% | 80.4% | 1.18 | -2.2% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 38.3% | 45.4% | 2.10 | -19.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% | 78.3% | 1.20 | -5.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.4% | 55.3% | 1.70 | -5.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.6% | 44.7% | 2.10 | -6.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67.0% | 64.5% | 1.44 | -3.6% |
| Both teams to score | 52.1% | 55.7% | 1.67 | -13.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 9 نوفمبر 2026, 16:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Junior or draw (1X) — The model gives Junior or a draw a 90% chance, Junior have lost only 1 of their last 5 and they are unbeaten in 7 of 8 home games.
Form (last 5)
Junior
DDWDL
1.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Cucuta
WWLLW
0.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Junior wins 1 draws 1 Cucuta wins last 6 meetings
- Cucuta1 - 1Junior Primera A
- Junior2 - 1Cucuta Copa Colombia
- Cucuta4 - 3Junior Copa Colombia
- Cucuta1 - 4Junior Primera A
- Junior1 - 0Cucuta Primera A
- Cucuta1 - 3Junior Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 9 نوفمبر 2026, 13:58. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
