Salford City vs Northampton
England League Two
Salford City
Northampton
نوفمبر 14, 2026 at 16:00 · Moor Lane
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Salford City vs Northampton prediction and betting tip for this England League Two match, kicking off نوفمبر 14, 2026 at 16:00 at Moor Lane. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.30), 90% confidence.
Salford City vs Northampton Preview
Salford City host Northampton in the England League Two (matchday 15) on السبت 14 نوفمبر 2026, kick-off 16:00 GMT+0100 at Moor Lane in Salford.
Salford City are 1st in the table with 31 points from 14 games (10-1-3), while Northampton sit 21st on 14 points. Salford City have a 17-point advantage. At home Salford City have won 6 of 7; Northampton have won 1 of 6 on the road.
Salford City have five wins in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-W), averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Northampton have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-W-D-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Salford City have won 2, Northampton 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in يناير 2023, finished Salford City 2-1 Northampton.
Salford City average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2. Northampton average 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: M. Langstaff leads Salford City's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Salford City the favourites: Salford City 1.60, draw 3.70, Northampton 5.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95 and under at 1.85. Both teams to score: yes 1.91, no 1.80.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.3 goals and recent form points to 2.5 goals a game.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
Season stats
| Salford City | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 10 / 1 / 3 | 3 / 5 / 5 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 25 (1.8) | 9 (0.7) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 15 (1.1) | 10 (0.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 5-3-2 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- M. Langstaff 5 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 13 نوفمبر 2026, 00:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.17 – 0.61 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 90/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salford City win | 49.4% | 57.6% | 1.60 | -21.0% |
| Draw | 31.3% | 24.9% | 3.70 | +15.8% |
| Northampton win | 19.3% | 17.5% | 5.25 | +1.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 80.7% | 82.5% | 1.18 | -4.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 50.6% | 42.4% | 2.15 | +8.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53.0% | 73.2% | 1.28 | -32.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26.3% | 48.7% | 1.95 | -48.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 73.7% | 51.3% | 1.85 | +36.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89.5% | 72.3% | 1.30 | +16.4% |
| Both teams to score | 31.4% | 48.5% | 1.91 | -40.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 13 نوفمبر 2026, 00:27, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.3 goals and recent form points to 2.5 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Salford City
WWWWW
2.4 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Northampton
WLWDL
1.0 scored · 0.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Salford City wins 1 draws 3 Northampton wins last 6 meetings
- Salford City2 - 1Northampton League Two
- Northampton0 - 1Salford City League Two
- Northampton1 - 0Salford City League Two
- Salford City2 - 2Northampton League Two
- Salford City1 - 2Northampton League Two
- Northampton2 - 0Salford City League Two
Statistics: API-Football · updated 13 نوفمبر 2026, 00:27. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
